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ohio is obama country. people have been voting here for a month. >> but his margins have gotten smaller. >> a little bit. it's been a four to five-point race for several weeks, and people have been voting for about a month. a good chunk of people in the states will have already voted by election day. >> big story on the front page of the "new york times." 2400 lawyers have fanned out across the state. you're doing that for a reason. >> we're always prepared for every scenario. we want to make sure that everybody who is eligible to vote has the opportunity to vote. >> a lot of people, you have to admit, though. and they're training other people to be poll watchers. seriously, how worried are you? and how many contestants, you know, votes might there be? >> we're not worried. we have every confidence that everybody who is eligible is going to be able to vote. but we always are prepared to vote. that's why we will have people across the country so people feel confident about that. >> let's talk about the job n
ohio is obama country. people have been voting here for a month. >> but his margins have gotten smaller. >> a little bit. it's been a four to five-point race for several weeks, and people have been voting for about a month. a good chunk of people in the states will have already voted by election day. >> big story on the front page of the "new york times." 2400 lawyers have fanned out across the state. you're doing that for a reason. >> we're always prepared for...
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Nov 4, 2012
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if you're in michigan or ohio you can point to that reason why, and that reason why has barack obama's name on it. >> if you listen to the little clips we played, it seems as though barack obama is energized -- >> that's apparent. >> mitt romney is going through the motions. >> let's go to the facts here we have on the table. i love the atmospherics. let's go to this peaking question. dick nixon, richard nixon, he was a smart politician as they go, and he used to believe -- he didn't want to the run all out. he said you have to peak at the right time. he almost caught kennedy. he was three days late. three more days he might have caught him. humphrey almost caught nixon in '68. these elections go through rhythms. >> mitt romney peaked exactly where john kerry peaked in 2004, the first debate. they both had a first great debate, got a great bounce, and it dissipated -- >> slowly dissipated. >> slowly over the course of the campaign and they couldn't get the wind back. >> i'm not sure obama is peaking at the best moment, but the campaign, particularly in ohio, seems to have reached a pla
if you're in michigan or ohio you can point to that reason why, and that reason why has barack obama's name on it. >> if you listen to the little clips we played, it seems as though barack obama is energized -- >> that's apparent. >> mitt romney is going through the motions. >> let's go to the facts here we have on the table. i love the atmospherics. let's go to this peaking question. dick nixon, richard nixon, he was a smart politician as they go, and he used to believe...
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if president obama can hold on to nevada, wisconsin and ohio, he still wins with 271 electoral votes. so with mitt romney out on the trail, that is in part a disadvantage for president obama, but it's too hard to say right now. >> hogan, governor romney is continuing that cam taken to go forward in states not impacted by hurricane sandy. it was really interesting, joe scarborough and his observations this morning he made on "morning joe." take a listen. >> this was mitt romney's best weekend, and it stops. the momentum stops. you don't know how it freezes, but it's a new dynamic into the race and changes everything with with a week to go. >> let's talk about this. not only could this stall romney's momentum, but it also brings up something that mitt romney was forceful about during the primary debates. he sad voe indicated shutting down team na and letting states handle disaster relief. watching what's taking place with sandy, know we have 12 different states that declared states of emergency and also the district, washington, d.c., does this pose a problem for mitt romney if he gets
if president obama can hold on to nevada, wisconsin and ohio, he still wins with 271 electoral votes. so with mitt romney out on the trail, that is in part a disadvantage for president obama, but it's too hard to say right now. >> hogan, governor romney is continuing that cam taken to go forward in states not impacted by hurricane sandy. it was really interesting, joe scarborough and his observations this morning he made on "morning joe." take a listen. >> this was mitt...
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Oct 31, 2012
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give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with f
give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for...
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, virginia and in ohio obama leads romney 50 to 45% among likely voters. he also has a huge advantage when it comes to early voters. among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, 60% of ohioans favor the president while only 34% voted for romney. meanwhile, team romney is pumping cash into states not expected to be competitive at this stage. the governor's campaign says it is seeing a resurgence in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota. the obama campaign is pouring cold water on that very theory saying it shows signs of a struggling romney campaign. quote, romney campaign desperate. putting up ads in pennsylvania and minnesota, prove he's struggling to find a new path to 270. that prompted the romney campaign to respond with a tweet of its own, spokesman ryan williams, quote, nervous. obama campaign says minnesota and pennsylvania aren't battlegrounds but running more than 1.1 million in ads there. the baaing and forth on twitter, ben. who to believe. i'll say this. minnesota is a blue state that bill clinton did visit not a few -- not but
, virginia and in ohio obama leads romney 50 to 45% among likely voters. he also has a huge advantage when it comes to early voters. among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, 60% of ohioans favor the president while only 34% voted for romney. meanwhile, team romney is pumping cash into states not expected to be competitive at this stage. the governor's campaign says it is seeing a resurgence in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota. the obama campaign is pouring cold water...
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there's even another scenario if you were to give president obama ohio but mitt romney squeezes out a win in wisconsin which is paul ryan's home state, and give mitt romney iowa, those are 16 electoral votes. and then we're stuck with president obama, 265, mitt romney at 264. and colorado, once again, probably the closest state right now, would be determinative with those nine electoral votes. >> and so what about the latest nbc news poll for colorado's likely voters? as we get to some of these details here, can you go through that and explain the numbers there and the changing from just earlier this month? >> yeah, well just from late september, that poll changed in just a month from 50-45 president obama to now just 48-48. as tight as it possibly could get. and the reason, though, the trend there is not good for the president. you saw a switch with suburban women. you saw a switch with women in general in the state. the thing that's keeping president obama in the game is hispanics, president obama with about a 30-point lead and they make up a slightly larger percent of the electorat
there's even another scenario if you were to give president obama ohio but mitt romney squeezes out a win in wisconsin which is paul ryan's home state, and give mitt romney iowa, those are 16 electoral votes. and then we're stuck with president obama, 265, mitt romney at 264. and colorado, once again, probably the closest state right now, would be determinative with those nine electoral votes. >> and so what about the latest nbc news poll for colorado's likely voters? as we get to some of...
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if you're in michigan or ohio you can point to that reason why, and that reason why has barack obama's name on it. >> if you listen to the little clips we played, it seems as though barack obama is energized -- >> that's apparent. >> mitt romney is going through the motions. >> let's go to the facts here we have on the table. i love the atmospherics. let's go to this peaking question. dick nixon, richard nixon, he was a smart politician as they go, and he used to believe -- he didn't want to the run all out. he said you have to peak at the right time. he almost caught kennedy. he was three days late. three more days he might have caught him. humphrey almost caught nixon in '68. these elections go through rhythms. >> mitt romney peaked exactly where john kerry peaked in 2004, the first debate. they both had a first great debate, got a great bounce, and it dissipated -- >> slowly dissipated. >> -- over the course of the campaign, and they couldn't get the wind back. >> i'm not sure obama is peaking at the best moment, but the campaign, particularly in ohio, seems to have reached a platea
if you're in michigan or ohio you can point to that reason why, and that reason why has barack obama's name on it. >> if you listen to the little clips we played, it seems as though barack obama is energized -- >> that's apparent. >> mitt romney is going through the motions. >> let's go to the facts here we have on the table. i love the atmospherics. let's go to this peaking question. dick nixon, richard nixon, he was a smart politician as they go, and he used to believe...
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. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than a
. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida...
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erin, give me a sense, is ohio pretty much obama territory now? >> we think that it is. and all of the national -- or excuse me, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. but one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the romney campaign is seeing and republicans told me earlier this week that last week their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. so they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. so you might say that it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data and that's why they're arguing these cases that they are. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? i mean, are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the m
erin, give me a sense, is ohio pretty much obama territory now? >> we think that it is. and all of the national -- or excuse me, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. but one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the romney campaign is seeing and republicans told me earlier this week that last week their polls showed mitt romney...
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because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters were asked does th
because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters...
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but this is about ohio, the ad about ohio and president obama still leads in ohio. >> the pushback you are seeing of general motors as well as chrysler is pretty extraordinary in a presidential campaign with major companies basically say that one campaign is being inaccurate in the tv ads. tamron, this has to do everything with ohio. this has all to do with the auto bailout and a reason president obama is doing better with white voters in ohio than might be in places in the south or battlegrounds like in virginia and florida, has to do with the auto bailout. getting support from a lot of people whose jobs are tied to the auto industry. another thing benefiting president obama has to do with the fact labor and the politics of labor very big flash points in the last couple of years and the midwest in ohio, in wisconsin until a lot of people, particularly white members who are union members more apt to support president obama than you would see from white people in other parts of the country. >> garbled what the chrysler chief said but inaccurate to suggest anything different of an allege
but this is about ohio, the ad about ohio and president obama still leads in ohio. >> the pushback you are seeing of general motors as well as chrysler is pretty extraordinary in a presidential campaign with major companies basically say that one campaign is being inaccurate in the tv ads. tamron, this has to do everything with ohio. this has all to do with the auto bailout and a reason president obama is doing better with white voters in ohio than might be in places in the south or...
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by contrast, 62% think that obama cares about the needs of the people and they like him. just 36% say that he does not. why is the race so tight, then, if that's the feeling? >> well, rev, you've been to ohio in the last few months and if you turn on your tv, you notice we're not watching a lot of beer or viagra ads. it's all campaign ads and they are some of the nastiness that we've seen in the a past and ultimately i think the president is going to win this state. i think it will be close and what i think will matter most is the ground game and geo tv ads are running in a ferocious. i drive a chevy cruze. there it are so many towns full of workers who are contributing supplies to that car. more than a dozen. they can rattle off the list of cities where workers are contributing to the assembly of the chevy cruze and this is really important, working around the clock now. they have three shifts in lawrencetown producing one of the best selling cars in america that. is a success story of ohio and ohio workers and i couldn't be prouder to be in this state. >> it's a great s
by contrast, 62% think that obama cares about the needs of the people and they like him. just 36% say that he does not. why is the race so tight, then, if that's the feeling? >> well, rev, you've been to ohio in the last few months and if you turn on your tv, you notice we're not watching a lot of beer or viagra ads. it's all campaign ads and they are some of the nastiness that we've seen in the a past and ultimately i think the president is going to win this state. i think it will be...
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in ohio president obama leading in three points. in virginia president obama leading by one point. in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost never happens. it's really weird, but nobody nationally never knows what's going on in indi
in ohio president obama leading in three points. in virginia president obama leading by one point. in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the...
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in ohio a new ppp poll has president lead big four, 51-47. next new hampshire, a small state that may play a big role on election night, the new ppp poll has the president up by two there. north carolina, new poll from elon university shows the race tied. oregon, a state president obama won by 17 points in '08, race is tightening, 47-41. tonight our guest, thomas sargent. nobel laureate in economics, and one of the most cited economists in the world. professor sargent, can you tell me what cd rates will be in two years? no. if he can't, no one can. that's why ally has a raise your rate cd. ally bank. your money needs an ally. >>> welcome back to "hardball." we now know this election may very well come down to ohio. and in the last few days the romney campaign has done some things even independent observers consider desperate. first came this from mitt romney last thursday in defiance, ohio, about an hour away from toledo. >> i saw a story today that one of the great manufacturers in this state, jeep, now owned by the italians, is thinking of
in ohio a new ppp poll has president lead big four, 51-47. next new hampshire, a small state that may play a big role on election night, the new ppp poll has the president up by two there. north carolina, new poll from elon university shows the race tied. oregon, a state president obama won by 17 points in '08, race is tightening, 47-41. tonight our guest, thomas sargent. nobel laureate in economics, and one of the most cited economists in the world. professor sargent, can you tell me what cd...
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i don't think obama or romney are well suited to iowa. did i just say ohio? i meant iowa. >> iowa. >> anyway, i don't think eat of those candidates are particularly well suited because there's a strong populace strain in iowa politics. i ultimately do have it going blue if you look at the polls. romney has never led in iowa, interestingly even though as you pointsed out the democrats held a slight advantage in voting in registration numbers in 2008. they are turning out the same number in terms of early votes. they have a 60,000 vote advantage this year at this time versus in 2008 which is the same. so i think ultimately it is going to go to president obama. >> i have it going red but, again, i think we put up that chart of presidential voting history since 1972 it's picked republican president five times, a democrat president five times. guess this is like the rubber match. just quickly want to note that yesterday i laid down some smack is what i did. >> a group smack down. >> i spoke for the group. yes. when i made some intimidating remarks. take a look. wi
i don't think obama or romney are well suited to iowa. did i just say ohio? i meant iowa. >> iowa. >> anyway, i don't think eat of those candidates are particularly well suited because there's a strong populace strain in iowa politics. i ultimately do have it going blue if you look at the polls. romney has never led in iowa, interestingly even though as you pointsed out the democrats held a slight advantage in voting in registration numbers in 2008. they are turning out the same...
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that is former governor ted strickland of ohio. an obama 2012 campaign co-chair. and also with us tonight is congressman tim ryan of ohio. gentlemen, great to have you with us. governor, you first. i can only think that this is a complete disservice to the people of ohio to go out in front of a crowd and erroneously put out information that cuts right to the fabric of what this election is all about and that's jobs. what's your reaction? >> my reaction is that mitt romney is a desperate man. he knows he's losing ohio. if he loses ohio, he's losing the election. for him to do what he did is despicable. think of the angst that those workers felt when they heard him say that. obviously, it showed a lack of judgment and a lack of truthfulness. this man is not ready to be the president of the united states of america. he is -- as jon huntsman said during the primary season, he is like a well-oiled weather vane. you never know where mitt romney is going to be on any issue on any day. this is just the latest example of his desperation in trying to reach the ohio voter. b
that is former governor ted strickland of ohio. an obama 2012 campaign co-chair. and also with us tonight is congressman tim ryan of ohio. gentlemen, great to have you with us. governor, you first. i can only think that this is a complete disservice to the people of ohio to go out in front of a crowd and erroneously put out information that cuts right to the fabric of what this election is all about and that's jobs. what's your reaction? >> my reaction is that mitt romney is a desperate...
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in ohio a new ppp poll has the president leading by four, 51%/47%. new hampshire, a small state that may play a big role on election night. the new ppp poll has the president up by two there. in north carolina a new poll from elon university, shows the race tied, who would have thought that a few weeks ago finally to oregon, a state president obama won by 17 points in '08. the race is tightening there. it's down to 47%, obama, 41% for romney. we'll be right back. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. this is going to give you a head start on your dinner. that seems easier [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. five delicious cooking sauces you combine with fresh ingredients to make amazing home-cooked meals. >>> welcome back to "hardball." we now know this election may very well come down to ohio. and in the last few days, the romney campaign has done some things even independent observers consider desperate. first came this from mitt romney last thursday in defiance, ohio, about an hour away from toledo. >> i saw a store tod
in ohio a new ppp poll has the president leading by four, 51%/47%. new hampshire, a small state that may play a big role on election night. the new ppp poll has the president up by two there. in north carolina a new poll from elon university, shows the race tied, who would have thought that a few weeks ago finally to oregon, a state president obama won by 17 points in '08. the race is tightening there. it's down to 47%, obama, 41% for romney. we'll be right back. fire bad! just have to fire...
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if you look nationally at where obama has been bleeding support, not as much in ohio. not nearly as dramatic. you can definitely link that to the economy there, to the bailout there, and i can think it's a small example, the 1988 election. a sea of red on the electoral map. bush won coast to coast. there were three states in the upper midwest that went democratic. iowa, minnesota and wisconsin. it was because the farm economy had collapsed in the '80s. the economy was so much worse there that they wanted to take it out on the reagan administration so they turned on bush. so i see there's a potential there for kind of a flip of that. if the economy is strong, i could see it would explain why obama is doing better in ohio than nationally. >> steve carr knack key, thank you very joining us. do you feel like between now and the election it's one sprint? do you plan to take any time off? >> i haven't been so far, so why change now? >> steve, it's great to have you here. >>> it's a good bet you have not seen the most moving speech by a politician in the last 24 hours. actual
if you look nationally at where obama has been bleeding support, not as much in ohio. not nearly as dramatic. you can definitely link that to the economy there, to the bailout there, and i can think it's a small example, the 1988 election. a sea of red on the electoral map. bush won coast to coast. there were three states in the upper midwest that went democratic. iowa, minnesota and wisconsin. it was because the farm economy had collapsed in the '80s. the economy was so much worse there that...
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it won reelection for president obama. >> do you think we're talking too much about ohio? listen, you've got the romney campaign saying they're looking at pennsylvania, minnesota, that they perhaps have some traction there. and we know the new numbers in florida. we'll talk with marc about that throe show at least a difference in polls from the nbc marist poll and local polls show romney is up more than we're indicating. >> first of all, i think both sides genuinely think they're going to win or certainly think they have a great chance of winning. that said, pennsylvania has always been fool's gold for republicans. it looks tempting at the end. they might go for it. >> sounds good on paper. >> but they don't get it. now if the new nbc marist poll is correct about florida, florida can decide it before we even, you know, do the late-night counting of the absentee ballots out of cleveland. i mean because florida, if that goes for president obama, that's pretty much the story, i think. >> mr. caputo, let me bring new you've in on this. the poll shows two point ahead for govern
it won reelection for president obama. >> do you think we're talking too much about ohio? listen, you've got the romney campaign saying they're looking at pennsylvania, minnesota, that they perhaps have some traction there. and we know the new numbers in florida. we'll talk with marc about that throe show at least a difference in polls from the nbc marist poll and local polls show romney is up more than we're indicating. >> first of all, i think both sides genuinely think they're...
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president obama's average lead in ohio is 2.3 points. that's a big lead, seriously. now families in northern ohio have not forgotten what the rescue of the automobile industry did for their state. one in eight ohio jobs are about the automobile industry. this is why mitt romney is doing everything he possibly can to down play the impact of the auto rescue. his political director says the obama campaign dropped the auto bailout on us, but there's only so long you can ride that one trick pony. you think getting a paycheck is a one-trick pony? romney called last night's event a victory rally. today romney gave a standard stump speech in iowa, but his campaign called it a victory event. so if you believe mitt romney, heck, he's already won the election. the auto rescue was no big deal and ohio jobs are getting shipped over to china. you can't believe a word this guy says. one no knows this isn't true is rob portman. portman knows romney is toast without ohio. >> if we don't win ohio, it's stuff to see us winning the election nationally. it's possible, but it's difficult.
president obama's average lead in ohio is 2.3 points. that's a big lead, seriously. now families in northern ohio have not forgotten what the rescue of the automobile industry did for their state. one in eight ohio jobs are about the automobile industry. this is why mitt romney is doing everything he possibly can to down play the impact of the auto rescue. his political director says the obama campaign dropped the auto bailout on us, but there's only so long you can ride that one trick pony....
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ohio. the dispatch poll, plus two obama, within the margin of error. florida poll, miami herald has right now romney plus six. so we go into this weekend, and republicans hoping this is a replay of 1980 where ronald reagan made a late break. but reagan had started his break a little earlier. by sunday, jimmy carter knew the race was over. if this is a late break, it's a really late break. looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48 hours and if that will stop him from overtaking the president.an >> tom brokaw, you have seen this before, and you have the ultimate political foe of the president giving him such high marks. a republican and a democrat working together, leadership at the highest level, and this has been a problem for the >> the president reached across party lines. some of our polling people have been talking to undecided voters out there in colorado and other places, and they saw the president as a leader in a way they had not before, because nothing like a hurricane or nationa
ohio. the dispatch poll, plus two obama, within the margin of error. florida poll, miami herald has right now romney plus six. so we go into this weekend, and republicans hoping this is a replay of 1980 where ronald reagan made a late break. but reagan had started his break a little earlier. by sunday, jimmy carter knew the race was over. if this is a late break, it's a really late break. looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48...
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the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our divided political heart." you know, this storm, as devastating as it is, e.j., it seems to have created some real problems for the romney campaign. it's almost as if you see them, and they are thing, and you can see them thinking out loud, oh, no, now what do we do? staging events. i mean, how low does it get? your thoughts? >> well, first of all, i would like to send my love out to my wife's family in rockaway queens, the neighborhood right on the ocean that got hammered. it's a great area and those folks are having a tough time right now. and i think this storm presented romneys with a slew of problems, and that
the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our...
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go like a pro. >>> president obama and mitt romney have been treating ohio like a second home. it's where we find an ohio native, msnbc's chris jansing, live in cleveland today. chris, there you are back home. it is all about ohio. what are you picking up on the ground? i feel like i'm in the middle of hand-to-hand combat here, andrea. in the end it's all coming down to the ground game. what we saw today was about,000 people. this is a big convention center near the airport in cleveland and they all came out to hear mitt romney and his message clearly was get out and vote. and this is something we've been hearing over and over again in the closing days, $1.6 million people have voted here in cleveland. that would tend to favor the democrats, we just got the numbers from the secretary of state yesterday. but they're going to go up. because we've been seeing tremendous lines all across the state. in early voting, a lot of pictures on twitter. that's going to be interesting to follow. why would mitt romney spend these precious final hours in cleveland, a place where barack obama w
go like a pro. >>> president obama and mitt romney have been treating ohio like a second home. it's where we find an ohio native, msnbc's chris jansing, live in cleveland today. chris, there you are back home. it is all about ohio. what are you picking up on the ground? i feel like i'm in the middle of hand-to-hand combat here, andrea. in the end it's all coming down to the ground game. what we saw today was about,000 people. this is a big convention center near the airport in...
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in ohio a new pp p poll has the president leading by four, 51%, 47%. new hampshire, a small state that may play a big role on election night. the new pp p poll has the president up by two there. in north carolina a new poll from elan university, shows the race tied, who would have thought that. finally to oregon, a state president obama won by 17 points in '08. the race is tightening there. it's down to 47%, obama, 41% for romney. we'll be right back. ♪ ooh baby, looks like you need a little help there ♪ ♪ ooh baby, can i do for you today? ♪ [ female announcer ] need help keeping your digestive balance? align can help. only align has bifantis, a patented probiotic that naturally helps maintain your digestive balance. try align to help retain a balanced digestive system. try the #1 gastroenterologist recommended probiotic. align. >>> welcome back to "hardball." we now know this election may very well come down to ohio. and in the last few days the romney campaign has done some things even independent observers consider desperate. first came this
in ohio a new pp p poll has the president leading by four, 51%, 47%. new hampshire, a small state that may play a big role on election night. the new pp p poll has the president up by two there. in north carolina a new poll from elan university, shows the race tied, who would have thought that. finally to oregon, a state president obama won by 17 points in '08. the race is tightening there. it's down to 47%, obama, 41% for romney. we'll be right back. ♪ ooh baby, looks like you need a little...
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president obama taking bill clinton to youngstown, ohio. he's not looking to pick up young black voters with bill clinton by his side. he's looking to pick up those blue collar, those elusive white men the president has had so much trouble with. if you were involved in the campaign, would you have kept these two together on the trail or had them hit separate cities in some of the swing states? >> that's an interesting question. i think it's more powerful when president clinton is with president obama. the clinton bump, and it was literally called that following the democratic national convention in charlotte was significant because it was the first time someone got up there and said as only a president could, no president could have fixed the financial mess we were in, the economic trouble we were in in 2008 in just these 3 1/2 years. so president clinton validates the obama economic agenda. i think that it's one thing to say it when he's not with him. when theyer on the trail and able to tell people who voted for obama last time, but are m
president obama taking bill clinton to youngstown, ohio. he's not looking to pick up young black voters with bill clinton by his side. he's looking to pick up those blue collar, those elusive white men the president has had so much trouble with. if you were involved in the campaign, would you have kept these two together on the trail or had them hit separate cities in some of the swing states? >> that's an interesting question. i think it's more powerful when president clinton is with...
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i think the problem for mitt romney here is, look at ohio, right? talk about a dispute over jobs and facts and he is losing. if you go on twitter, i mean, i was doing #romneyohioclips as the hash tag and the obama campaign and others were circulated today. not three, not five, but literally about 15 articles saying to mitt romney, you've got the economic plan wrong with your approach to jobs and the auto industry. and number two, equally important in a campaign, you're lying. stop lying to the people of ohio. >> dr. peterson, "the washington post," to ari's point, had an article entitled, mitt romney's campaign insults voters. through all the flip-flops there has been one consistency in the campaign of republican president nominee mitt romney, a contempt for the electorate. mr. romney seems to be betting that voters have no memories, poor arithmetic skills and general inability to look behind the curtain. we hope the results tuesday prove him wrong. >> yeah, again, if we put that revenge comment in its proper context, part of what that revenge is ab
i think the problem for mitt romney here is, look at ohio, right? talk about a dispute over jobs and facts and he is losing. if you go on twitter, i mean, i was doing #romneyohioclips as the hash tag and the obama campaign and others were circulated today. not three, not five, but literally about 15 articles saying to mitt romney, you've got the economic plan wrong with your approach to jobs and the auto industry. and number two, equally important in a campaign, you're lying. stop lying to the...
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romney saying, hey, don't get too comfy there, ohio, with the obama rescue of the automotive industry. i know it's been better. he saved everything here and that's why you have jobs and everything, but don't get too comfy, ohio, i read that they're moving all the jobs working for jeep. they're moving all the jeep jobs to china. he said that in ohio on the campaign trail 12 days before the election. and it is not true at all. the real jeep news that day was actually that chrysler announced it was adding 1100 new jobs in the u.s. here. making jeeps in detroit. jeep grand cherokees. and chrysler says it could hire almost as many people at another plant in warren, michigan. in ohio crisler is investing half a billion dollars in its toledo plant and hiring 1100 workers. but mitt romney got up that said defiance, ohio, and said he read somewhere that jeep is moving all of its production jobs to china. all of them. that's ridiculous. what is he talking about? it's embarrassing for mr. romney, right? why on god's great campaign trail would mitt romney get up in front of 12,000 people in ohio
romney saying, hey, don't get too comfy there, ohio, with the obama rescue of the automotive industry. i know it's been better. he saved everything here and that's why you have jobs and everything, but don't get too comfy, ohio, i read that they're moving all the jobs working for jeep. they're moving all the jeep jobs to china. he said that in ohio on the campaign trail 12 days before the election. and it is not true at all. the real jeep news that day was actually that chrysler announced it...
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president obama holds a 6-point lead among likely voters in ohio. 51 to 45%. then in the sunshine state the president gets support of 49% from likely voters. mitt romney coming in with 47%. let's head to mentor, ohio where the president is holding a campaign stop. we're following very closely with nbc's chris janzen's help. chris a good day to you. let's get to what the president is saying in his final pitch to the ohio voters. why is he there in mentor, specifically? >> reporter: good afternoon, alex. there is one group, one reason why the president is here. he's white work class voters. it's a group where the president has been behind nationally, having a tough time getting to 40%. but it's closette here closest . five points separated him and mitt romney in working class voters. take a look at the statistics in mentor. i know this very well. i grew up in lake county. 95% white. $61,000 median income. that's about $10,000 above the national average. it's the story throughout a lot of parts of ohio. and the reason is, the auto industry. it's worth saying agai
president obama holds a 6-point lead among likely voters in ohio. 51 to 45%. then in the sunshine state the president gets support of 49% from likely voters. mitt romney coming in with 47%. let's head to mentor, ohio where the president is holding a campaign stop. we're following very closely with nbc's chris janzen's help. chris a good day to you. let's get to what the president is saying in his final pitch to the ohio voters. why is he there in mentor, specifically? >> reporter: good...
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it's killed him in northern ohio and has become a firewall for the obama campaign. >> i spoke to some folks who say if president obama wins a second term, he immediately joins the league of great presidents. what's your take? >> he has an opportunity to be that because it's hard to do much in four years. but in obama's case, he ate up the oxygen of his first 18 months in office on obama care. affordable care act. if he loses, romney has said he's going to try to disassemble all that. so he loses president obama's main accomplishment. now he still has the killing of osama bin laden and two supreme court justices and one can make a list of things he can celebrate. but losing that big last piece of the progressive movement, which was trumpeted as his huge accomplishment, it won't bode well for president obama in history. >> douglas brinkley, always a pleasure. thank you. >>> office politics is next with tom brokaw. "weekends with alex witt" live from democracy plaza continues right after this. ♪ [ male announcer ] you've reached the age where you don't back down from a challenge. this
it's killed him in northern ohio and has become a firewall for the obama campaign. >> i spoke to some folks who say if president obama wins a second term, he immediately joins the league of great presidents. what's your take? >> he has an opportunity to be that because it's hard to do much in four years. but in obama's case, he ate up the oxygen of his first 18 months in office on obama care. affordable care act. if he loses, romney has said he's going to try to disassemble all...
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. >> president obama is getting set to take the stage in lima, ohio. the election is now foia days aaway. this is an event we have to cycle on the weekend. tomorrow at 3:00 p.m. we'll have a special show live from democracy plaza. can't you just taste that freedom? >>> time for your business entrepreneur of the week. ses carney works renaissance fairs, haunted houses and nightclubs. he hocks from his bone shop cart selling bones, skulls and other macabre items. he sells through performance and temperaments. for more watch your business [ male announcer ] unitedhealthcare wants to know "what do you want from a medicare plan?" i just want a company that helps me get the most out of my healthcare. i want it to be simple. one plan. one card to carry. i want lower copays... and i want my drugs covered. [ male announcer ] say "hello" to more of what you want with unitedhealthcare and our all-in-one medicare advantage plans, including aarp medicarecomplete plans, insured through unitedhealthcare. one, simple plan could give you hospital and doctor coverage wi
. >> president obama is getting set to take the stage in lima, ohio. the election is now foia days aaway. this is an event we have to cycle on the weekend. tomorrow at 3:00 p.m. we'll have a special show live from democracy plaza. can't you just taste that freedom? >>> time for your business entrepreneur of the week. ses carney works renaissance fairs, haunted houses and nightclubs. he hocks from his bone shop cart selling bones, skulls and other macabre items. he sells through...
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right now polls show that in key states like ohio, president obama leads mitt romney 2:1 or 60% to 30% with early voters. remains to be seen what strategy will seal the deal and who will win this election. but come election day, it will be clear whether the right strategy was galvanize voters early, early, early, or just hope they show up on election day. let's go to our table of experts. we -- look, this is it. 2450es are the final days. this is serious politics. so what's happening here particularly among my strategists. is it about targeting 106 counties, is it about early, early, swing voters, what is the winning strategy? >> what's going on is we have a gruff's race for ohio going on and barack obama and mitt romney are the candidates. we're dead in in terms of focusing in on specific counties because everyone's focused on ohio and i think to some degree candidates and people down at the county level in ohio may have better feel than some looking at polls and super pacs at the national level. >> we've been having a mike problem. but if you didn't hear out there, he's saying we hav
right now polls show that in key states like ohio, president obama leads mitt romney 2:1 or 60% to 30% with early voters. remains to be seen what strategy will seal the deal and who will win this election. but come election day, it will be clear whether the right strategy was galvanize voters early, early, early, or just hope they show up on election day. let's go to our table of experts. we -- look, this is it. 2450es are the final days. this is serious politics. so what's happening here...
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mitt romney is canceling events in ohio and president obama will make his way to florida tomorrow instead of waiting until monday. now, back to "caught on camera." >>> all the world may be a stage but there's no telling when life will radically depart from the script. in illinois, a man is trampled by a panicked horse, while another in north carolina struggles to escape from a deadly inferno. then, a 4th of july celebration goes explosively off course. while taking off in a jet turns into a fight between life and death. and falling from 9,000 feet, two skydivers struggle to free themselves before it's too late. >> you have to do something or your you're going to die. >> sometimes the best-laid plans can take a turn for the weird. >> "caught on camera: what went wrong." welcome to "caught on camera." i'm contessa brewer. sometimes all it takes is for one tiny detail to be off. in a split second, a routine event can escalate into a life or death drama, leaving folks to wonder what went wrong. it can happen at work or at play or, as these people found out, during a leisurely day at a horse s
mitt romney is canceling events in ohio and president obama will make his way to florida tomorrow instead of waiting until monday. now, back to "caught on camera." >>> all the world may be a stage but there's no telling when life will radically depart from the script. in illinois, a man is trampled by a panicked horse, while another in north carolina struggles to escape from a deadly inferno. then, a 4th of july celebration goes explosively off course. while taking off in a...
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in the buckeye state, a new ohio news poll has it dead even 49-49. any advantage the president had, five points, is now gone. on the trail yesterday mitt romney forced to change course his self because of the storm. after canceling three rallies in virginia, he teemed up with his running mate in ohio telling supporters only a ryan/romney could bridge the divide. >> we have to reach across the aisle. we have to find good democrats. democrats love america too. we have to reach across the aisle, find ways to bring in people from the other party, work together, collaborate, meet regularly and fight for the american people and we will. >> with democrats hammering mitt romney's opposition to the auto bailout especially in ohio, the republican candidate using a new ad to counter punch on what could be a decisive issue. >> who will do more for the auto industry? not barack obama. fact checkers concern his attacks on mitt romney are false. the truth? mitt romney has a i plan to help the auto industry. he's supported by lee iacocca and the detroit news. obama
in the buckeye state, a new ohio news poll has it dead even 49-49. any advantage the president had, five points, is now gone. on the trail yesterday mitt romney forced to change course his self because of the storm. after canceling three rallies in virginia, he teemed up with his running mate in ohio telling supporters only a ryan/romney could bridge the divide. >> we have to reach across the aisle. we have to find good democrats. democrats love america too. we have to reach across the...
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we are awaiting president obama in ohio. we will take you there when the president is on the stage. >>> three days before the election, the candidates are going in hard and making their closing economic arguments to the american people in light of the latest jobs numbers reports. >>> we could argue until we are blue in the faces about what voters care about most but the economy has been undeniably and is going to continue to be the dominant issue of this election. the latest jobs report that while the unemployment rate had an uptick from 7.8% to 7.9%, total nonfarm payroll increased by 171,000 jobs in october. for president obama, the glass is half full. >> today, our businesses have created nearly 5.5 new jobs. this morning, we learned that companies hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> yes, progress under president obama has been slow and sometimes frustratingly so but it has been steady. there has been progress. still, for mitt romney, the glass is half empty. >> he said he was going
we are awaiting president obama in ohio. we will take you there when the president is on the stage. >>> three days before the election, the candidates are going in hard and making their closing economic arguments to the american people in light of the latest jobs numbers reports. >>> we could argue until we are blue in the faces about what voters care about most but the economy has been undeniably and is going to continue to be the dominant issue of this election. the latest...
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president obama, that map is a little bit misleading. where he's really spending all of his time in the last three days is in wisconsin, in iowa, and in ohio. >> can he win with wisconsin, iowa, virginia, and florida? >> clearly, he will win with all those. he could win without some of those things as long as he holds onto wisconsin and iowa he could lose a bunch of other states. that's his firewall. he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio, pennsylvania, and virginia. now -- >> pennsylvania, they got a chance there? yes. is it likely? >> feels like they're looking for more paths and more opportunities. they basicall
president obama, that map is a little bit misleading. where he's really spending all of his time in the last three days is in wisconsin, in iowa, and in ohio. >> can he win with wisconsin, iowa, virginia, and florida? >> clearly, he will win with all those. he could win without some of those things as long as he holds onto wisconsin and iowa he could lose a bunch of other states. that's his firewall. he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and...
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a new quinnipiac/"new york times"/cbs news swing state poll shows president obama leading in ohio with likely voters 50 to 45. a tighter race in virginia. president obama at 49, mitt romney at 47, which is a statistical tie within the poll's 3% margin of error. and in florida that poll has president obama at 48 and mitt romney at 47. another statistical tie. tonight nate silver of the "new york times'" 538 blog forecasts that on november 6th president obama will win 300 electoral college votes and mitt romney will win 238 and president obama's chance of re-election ticked up tonight in nate silver's calculations to 78.4%. and finally, george w. bush has entered the presidential campaign. he did that today when he was dragged into it by his little brother in florida. >> do you honestly think that this president is capable of bringing people together? his entire strategy is to blame others. starting with my brother, of course. basically, he blames every possible thing, rather than having the humility to be able to reach out and define common ground. >> and the fight over who is the real
a new quinnipiac/"new york times"/cbs news swing state poll shows president obama leading in ohio with likely voters 50 to 45. a tighter race in virginia. president obama at 49, mitt romney at 47, which is a statistical tie within the poll's 3% margin of error. and in florida that poll has president obama at 48 and mitt romney at 47. another statistical tie. tonight nate silver of the "new york times'" 538 blog forecasts that on november 6th president obama will win 300...
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. >> nate silver predicts as of tonight, by the way, that president obama will win ohio and his chance of winning the presidency still very high. but the -- karen, i spoke to a former fema official earlier in the program and just asked him in budget terms what about a 40% cut in the fema budget, which would be the ryan plan, or what about some variation on that? call it 20%, call it 10%. what would it do in a situation like this? obviously he said it would be absolutely disastrous to their ability to respond to disasters. >> well, of course, it would be. i mean, look at what's happened. just suppose the last five or six years we've had these kinds of massive disasters where fema has been needed to come in. the federal government has been needed to come in almost once every year. so when we have these conversations and these political fights, and that's really, frankly, what i think is a little shameful about the event romney did today. it's fine to say, people, it's in our human nature, we want to get out there and kind of help. i wish he would have directed people to the most effectiv
. >> nate silver predicts as of tonight, by the way, that president obama will win ohio and his chance of winning the presidency still very high. but the -- karen, i spoke to a former fema official earlier in the program and just asked him in budget terms what about a 40% cut in the fema budget, which would be the ryan plan, or what about some variation on that? call it 20%, call it 10%. what would it do in a situation like this? obviously he said it would be absolutely disastrous to...
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as well as a second event in ohio with vice president biden. the republican challenger mitt romney cancelled one of three campaign events on his schedule today. he did still address crowds in ohio and davenport, iowa. he held a town hall with voters in ohio by teleconference. but now romney's slate of events for tomorrow has been cleared. mr. romney's running mate paul ryan held one event in florida before cutting the day short and heading to his home in wisconsin. in terms of hurricane sandy's direct effect on next week's election, chuck todd reports tonight that the fema director craig foou gait has told states if they incur extra costs because of the storm, if they have to move polling places or bring in generators for power, should sandy cause elections officials any expensive changes, states and cities will be reimbursed for those costs by the federal disaster relief, ev if one doesn't believe in that sort of thing. this is not a time for ideology. let's bring in michelle franzen in battery park in lower manhattan. everybody has been keepi
as well as a second event in ohio with vice president biden. the republican challenger mitt romney cancelled one of three campaign events on his schedule today. he did still address crowds in ohio and davenport, iowa. he held a town hall with voters in ohio by teleconference. but now romney's slate of events for tomorrow has been cleared. mr. romney's running mate paul ryan held one event in florida before cutting the day short and heading to his home in wisconsin. in terms of hurricane sandy's...
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the conventional paths are tough because if you take ohio away, as i showed, and that's in the obama column, then he has all sorts of other problems to get to 270 and there is a necessity to find these states. and, by the way, folks, when i'm doing this, i'm not saying this is where nbc says the race is right now. i'm going through scenarios so don't overreact on twitter. i know you like to do that. one final point about the expanded battleground state maps f. romney comes up short and ohio proves to be the critical state and they didn't have any other path to 270 will they look back six months ago and say to themselves, imagine had they built an organization in pennsylvania, minnesota and michigan, suffered the idea they couldn't win, couldn't win, couldn't win but stubbornly stayed there ala obama in north carolina, and guess where north carolina is today? still tight. would they be in a better position today to take advantage of this momentum? that's a question they could be asking themselves if they come up short on election day in boston. our political panel will be here next. n
the conventional paths are tough because if you take ohio away, as i showed, and that's in the obama column, then he has all sorts of other problems to get to 270 and there is a necessity to find these states. and, by the way, folks, when i'm doing this, i'm not saying this is where nbc says the race is right now. i'm going through scenarios so don't overreact on twitter. i know you like to do that. one final point about the expanded battleground state maps f. romney comes up short and ohio...